What are the best Emmy bets? Plus the Oscars race before Venice, TIFF and Telluride Film Festivals arrive
The new Oscar race accelerates with fall film festivals upon coming soon
Season seven returns with the expert betting trio comprising Tony Coca-Cola, Max Renn and The Professor.
The window of betting value is wide with opportunity, as many Oscar contenders are mispriced by sportsbooks.
First Cut Emmys Expert Betting Tips plus hidden gems for the 2027 Oscars
The Professor
78th Primetime Emmy Awards - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series - Keri Russell A play against Rhea Seehorn, who has been nominated three times with zero wins. The Seehorn narrative is strong, but don’t overlook Russell’s narrative too. The Diplomat actress has been Emmys nominated on four occasions, with zero wins.
Russell beat Seehorn at the Screen Actor Guild Awards. I’m backing a repeat upset win.
$7.00 Sportsbet
78th Primetime Emmy Awards - Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series - Paul W. DownsThe Hacks star is underrated by betting markets.
$11.00 TAB
78th Primetime Emmy Awards - Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series - DTF St. LouisIt will be a strong showing for the St. Louis team, with many acting prizes highly likely to salute.
$1.83 Sportsbet
78th Primetime Emmy Awards - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie - Carey MulliganSarah Snook is grossly mispriced as the favourite for a hammed up performance in All Her Fault. Mulligan wins this.
$2.75 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Picture - La Bola NegraIs this the film that will break through for Netflix, snaring the streamer’s first ever Best Picture? While betting markets are frothing over The Odyssey, La Bola Negra is quietly positioned and underrated as the main challenger.
Get on before the temperature changes when the Spanish drama is next seen at the Toronto International Film Festival.
$15 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Actor - Tom CruiseDigger is a wild swing. Even if Iñárritu’s latest slightly misfires, the narrative of Tom Cruise could be enough to power the veteran actor to the winning stage in March 2027.
$4.33 Sportsbet
Max Renn
99th Academy Awards - Best Picture - Project Hail MaryThe populist appeal should play well to AMPAS voters.
$10 TAB
78th Primetime Emmy Awards - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie - Carey MulliganGood value for the veteran English actress.
$2.75 TAB
Tony Coca-Cola
99th Academy Awards - Best Picture nomination - The Social ReckoningThis new instalment may not hit the heights of The Social Network, however, the film’s tech themes should resonate with Oscar voters. And if Aaron Sorkin’s The Trial of the Chicago 7, which was also a courtroom drama, grabbed a Best Picture nomination, surely history can repeat.
$4.50 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Picture nomination - Being HeumannA close watch on the premiere at the Toronto Film Festival next month.
$3.25 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Picture nomination - JosephineWinner of both the U.S. Grand Jury Prize: Dramatic and the Audience Award at Sundance, Jospehine has opened to crtical praise and is one to watch for Best Picture nomination contention.
$6.00 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Actor nomination - Andrew ScottThe Irish actor has been building a quality body of work, and could finally break through for a nomination with a revelatory performance based on the true story of Ian Charleson, who starred as Eric Liddell in the 1981 classic Chariots of Fire.
$1.60 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Actor nomination - John TurturroMaybe this is the year to recognise the career of the veteran American actor.
$6.00 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Actress nomination - Ruth MadeleySian Hader’s return after CODA’s Oscar glory could propel Ruth Madeley to a nomination.
$3.50 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Actress nomination - Sandra HüllerTake your pick for the German actress, who has both Fatherland and Rose as lead actress Oscar contending roles.
$1.65 TAB
99th Academy Awards - Best Actress nomination - Cynthia ErivoPrima Facie is highly topical and could land another Oscar nomination for the British actress.
$3.50 TAB
99th Academy Awards - The Odyssey over 2 acting nominationsMatt Damon, Anne Hathaway, Samantha Morton and John Leguizamo are all in the mix for Oscar acting nominations.
$2.15 Sportsbet
99th Academy Awards - Project Hail Mary, no Best Picture nominationWorth a small play, there are so many Oscar contending titles coming down the pipe, that Project Hail Mary could get knocked out of the ten.
$5.00 Sportsbet
99th Academy Awards - Project Hail Mary, under 7.5 total nominationsAnother contrarian play.
$1.65 Sportsbet

