Emmys 2025 & Oscars 2026 Best Picture predictions: Where’s the Betting Value?

Will it be a predictable sweep by Adolescence, Severance and The Studio? Non believers that the three will dominate can uncover sharp Emmys odds and underrated contenders for television’s biggest night in September.

Meanwhile, on the eve of film festivals in Venice and Toronto, the conversation around Best Picture heats up.

The Professor

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Drama Series - The Pitt

Underrrated by sports books, the broad appeal for the new ER medical drama should play well for Emmys voters. At the current odds of this 45% win probability, it’s a medium conviction bet.

This is also a play against Severance, which is steamed in a little too heavy.

$3.00

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series - Bella Ramsay & Britt Lower 

All signs point to Emmys victory for Kathy Bates. But aside Matlock’s singular nomination, is the narrative so overwhelming that other actresses in the category are shut out? I don’t believe it.

$19.00 Bella Ramsay

$3.00 Britt Lower

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series - Michelle Williams

$3.00 Michelle Williams

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series - Stephen Graham

$4.00 Stephen Graham

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series - Katherin LaNasa

$8.50 Katherin LaNasa

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series - Tramell Tillman

$2.25

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series - Jenny Slate

$8.50

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series - Liza Colon-Zaya

$21

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture nomination - After the Hunt

Italian filmmaker Luca Guadagnino is among the best filmmakers working in cinema today. It’s time to recognise his talents. And this bookmaker underestimates the film’s many Oscar ingredients at generous Oscar Best Picture odds.

$2.70 TAB

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture nomination - Jay Kelly

$1.91 TAB

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture win - Jay Kelly

$34 Sportsbet

Max Renn

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series - Stephen Graham  

Heavy investment at great odds, where Adolescence should dominate.

$4.00 Stephen Graham

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture nomination - Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$2.88 TAB

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture nomination - A Big Bold Beautiful Journey

The trailer for Kogonada’s innovative rom-com looks really strong. This is an outsider worth a play.

$3.00 TAB

Tony Coca-Cola

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Comedy Series - Only Murders in the Building  

The odds are too big here.

$41 TAB

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series - Adam Scott

If it’s Severance’s night, Adam Scott and his co-star Britt Lower should do well at the Emmys.

$4.95 Sportsbet

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series - Britt Lower   

$3.40 TAB

77th Emmy Awards  - Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series - Stephen Graham  

$4.00 Stephen Graham

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture nomination - After the Hunt  

Highly topical with a stacked cast, this is a high conviction bet.

$2.70 TAB

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture nomination - Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere  

$2.88 TAB

98th Academy Awards  - Best Picture win - After the Hunt  

$9 Neds, Ladbrokes