Oscars Betting Odds & Golden Globes Shifts: New Value Emerges
The Golden Globes nominations have delivered the first major shake-up of the Oscars 2026 race, forcing a reset across multiple betting markets. With several expected frontrunners underperforming and quieter contenders gaining momentum, probability is beginning to matter more than perception.
In this episode of Lights Camera What’s the Action?, we analyse how the Golden Globes have reshaped Best Picture and the acting races, examine the Oscar potential of Frankenstein and If I Had Legs I’d Kick You, and assess whether Jessie Buckley’s early Best Actress frontrunner status is under real threat.
We also explore why Golden Globes longshots often produce the most overlooked value of the awards season.
Good guy, good role, good film: 5 reasons why Paul Giamatti is the stealth challenger in the Best Actor race
There are five compelling reasons why the trigger on the betting gun must be pulled now on Paul Giamatti, everyone’s favourite cranky yet loveable Uncle.
Best bet: the case for Curtis, get on before it’s too late Everywhere
Powered by a CODA like unit that is endearing voters and leading the regional awards circuit, the tide is rising for Everything Everywhere All at Once.
A beneficiary of this rising tide is Jamie Lee Curtis., who is solidly supported by the campaign engineering of A24. Seven out of ten Gold Derby experts currently have Curtis ranked first to win Best Supporting Actress at the 80th Golden Globes.

