Oscars Betting Odds & Golden Globes Shifts: New Value Emerges
The Golden Globes nominations have delivered the first major shake-up of the Oscars 2026 race, forcing a reset across multiple betting markets. With several expected frontrunners underperforming and quieter contenders gaining momentum, probability is beginning to matter more than perception.
In this episode of Lights Camera What’s the Action?, we analyse how the Golden Globes have reshaped Best Picture and the acting races, examine the Oscar potential of Frankenstein and If I Had Legs I’d Kick You, and assess whether Jessie Buckley’s early Best Actress frontrunner status is under real threat.
We also explore why Golden Globes longshots often produce the most overlooked value of the awards season.
The Zone of Betting Introspection: what worked, what didn’t during the awards season of 2024 (part 1)
On the psychology couch, betting analyst Tony Coca-Cola self-diagnoses what he needs to start, stop and continue doing in preparation for the next awards season
2024 Golden Globes best bets: a triangle of caution meets value
As a smooth sea never made a skilful sailor, version 2.0 of the Golden Globes must be treated with betting caution.
Nevertheless, here are two value plays that have been underestimated by markets makers.
Good guy, good role, good film: 5 reasons why Paul Giamatti is the stealth challenger in the Best Actor race
There are five compelling reasons why the trigger on the betting gun must be pulled now on Paul Giamatti, everyone’s favourite cranky yet loveable Uncle.
Podcast S3 E07 2023 Golden Globes betting results, Best of 2022
In this episode, we review the beauty and the bloodshed of the 2023 Golden Globes. What new roads are emerging for the Academy Awards glory? Plus our Best of ‘22 lists for film and TV.
Also under the microscope: the contenders for the Oscar Best Documentary with reviews of Navalny, Descendant, Fire of Love and Moonage Daydream.
Podcast S3 E06 and best bets
In our final podcast episode for the year, we do a deep dive on the Golden Globes, together with betting insights for the 2023 Academy Awards and Critics Choice Awards.
We also review Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, Bones and All, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio, and Aftersun.
Best bet: the case for Curtis, get on before it’s too late Everywhere
Powered by a CODA like unit that is endearing voters and leading the regional awards circuit, the tide is rising for Everything Everywhere All at Once.
A beneficiary of this rising tide is Jamie Lee Curtis., who is solidly supported by the campaign engineering of A24. Seven out of ten Gold Derby experts currently have Curtis ranked first to win Best Supporting Actress at the 80th Golden Globes.
Podcast S3 E05 and best bets
In this episode, we look at the betting angles for the 2023 Academy Awards and Golden Globes
We also review The Fabelmans, She Said, The Banshees of Inisherin, RRR and Triangle of Sadness.
Golden Globe Awards – By The Numbers
The Globes, as per usual, threw us some curveballs this week.
Yet despite the volatility the Globes typically bring, they still provide some solid statistical links for the Oscars.